2022 World Cup Win Probability AI Simulator 2022 World Cup Win Probability AI Simulator

United States

  • World Cup Appearances: 11
  • Total Results: Win: 8 Draw: 6 Loss: 19
  • Best Result: 3rd place
  • FIFA Rank: 16

Probability of Advancing to Each Round

Last Updated: 12/18/2022 03:00 (UTC)

Round of 16

100.0%

4th out of 32 countries

Quarter-finals

0.0%

13th out of 32 countries

Semi-finals

0.0%

11th out of 32 countries

Finals

0.0%

9th out of 32 countries

Winner

0.0%

9th out of 32 countries

Probabilities are calculated based on 10,000 trials.

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Chance of United States Winning

Netherlands - United States

12/03 15:00 (UTC)

Chance of
United States winning

37.3%

Last Updated: 12/18/2022 03:00

Iran - United States

11/29 19:00 (UTC)

Chance of
United States winning

43.0%

Last Updated: 12/18/2022 03:00

England - United States

11/25 19:00 (UTC)

Chance of
United States winning

29.0%

Last Updated: 12/18/2022 03:00

United States - Wales

11/21 19:00 (UTC)

Chance of
United States winning

44.4%

Last Updated: 12/18/2022 03:00

Predict the game results and win points!

Just predict the winners and receive points split among participants. The total number of points to be split start at 1M points. Points increase by 1M as 10,000 participants join (up to a maximum of 10M points in total). To participate, you need to install the free news app NewsDigest.

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Probability Change of United States Advancing to Round of 16

Last Updated: 12/19/2022 03:15 (UTC)

Shows the number of times a country won in 10,000 trials.

Group B: Winning Percentage by Opponent

Last Updated: 12/18/2022 03:00 (UTC)

WinDrawLose
England29.0%20.6%50.5%
Iran43.0%19.8%37.2%
Wales44.4%20.3%35.2%
Netherlands37.3%0.0%62.7%

Probabilities are calculated based on 10,000 trials.

Group B: Probability of Advancing to Each Round

Last Updated: 12/18/2022 03:00 (UTC)

Round of 16Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinalsWinner
England100.0%100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Iran0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
United States100.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Wales0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Probabilities are calculated based on 10,000 trials.

Match Schedules

Last Updated: 12/19/2022 03:15 (UTC)

Round of 16

12/03 15:00 (UTC)

Netherlands3-1United States

12/03 19:00 (UTC)

Argentina2-1Australia

12/04 19:00 (UTC)

England3-0Senegal

12/04 15:00 (UTC)

France3-1Poland

12/05 15:00 (UTC)

Japan1-1Croatia

12/05 19:00 (UTC)

Brazil4-1South Korea

12/06 15:00 (UTC)

Morocco0-0Spain

12/06 19:00 (UTC)

Portugal6-1Switzerland

Quarter-finals

12/09 19:00 (UTC)

Netherlands2-2Argentina

12/09 15:00 (UTC)

Croatia1-1Brazil

12/10 19:00 (UTC)

England1-2France

12/10 15:00 (UTC)

Morocco1-0Portugal

Semi-finals

12/13 19:00 (UTC)

Argentina3-0Croatia

12/14 19:00 (UTC)

France2-0Morocco

Third Place

12/17 15:00 (UTC)

Croatia2-1Morocco

Finals

12/18 15:00 (UTC)

Argentina3-3France

Match Schedule for Group B

Last Updated: 12/19/2022 03:15 (UTC)

Group B

11/21 13:00 (UTC)

England6-2Iran

11/21 19:00 (UTC)

United States1-1Wales

11/25 10:00 (UTC)

Wales0-2Iran

11/25 19:00 (UTC)

England0-0United States

11/29 19:00 (UTC)

Wales0-3England

11/29 19:00 (UTC)

Iran0-1United States

Simulation Method

JXPress has created a model to predict which country will win a match based on the results of past World Cups, the information about the ability of each team, and the results of recent international tournaments. Following the actual tournament process, we predicted the results for the World Cup by simulating each match 10,000 times.

*The probabilities calculated above are based on the information that is currently available and can differ from the actual results.